Archive for the ‘economics’ Category

Social Insecurity

Monday, December 7th, 2009

From a recent offer at American Vision:

The Social Security System will be broke by the end of 2010, according to figures published by the Congressional Budget Office.  That’s right: busted.  The program will have to be subsidized by Congress.  No more net revenue surplus from FICA taxes.  Hello, deficit!

But what about the Social Security Trust Fund?  Empty. Nothing but a pile of non-marketable IOU’s from the Treasury Department.  Total: $2.5 trillion.

Medicare is already broke.  Ever since 2007, Congress has been bailing it out.  In 2010, 45% of the Medicare Hospital Insurance program’s expenses will be funded by the general fund.  Hello, deficit!

But what about the Medicare Trust Fund?  Empty.  Nothing but a pile of non-marketable IOU’s from the Treasury Department.  Total: $300 billion and falling.

Have you factored this into your retirement plans?  Congress hasn’t.  Congress is playing “kick the can.”

Tens of millions of Americans are planning to retire no later than age 65.  Millions more plan to take early retirement at 62.  A majority of these people will be destitute by age 75.  Maybe by age 70.

Gary North did a lovely dive into the deep end over Y2K, but that doesn’t mean he can’t swim out and say reasonable things. Anyone under 40 who is counting on Social Security trusts crazy people who think they can cure debt with more debt. Best to plan otherwise.


New Wheels for the Rich or Foolish

Tuesday, August 11th, 2009

Minimum wage laws make it so that very few people whose labor is worth less than the set price will have jobs, right? Right. The poor suffer. It’s not a complicated argument.

Similarly, what happens when lots of low cost cars are purchased by the government and then destroyed? The supply is diminished, demand remains the same (or rises), and people, the poorer among us, who need cheap cars are hurt with less to choose from and (often therefore) higher prices. The government incentivized this by trading cash for clunkers. Who would turn in these clunkers? People who either have jobs and money and can afford to buy a new car or people who are irresponsible and can’t afford it but buy on credit anyway. Either way, the government subsidizes wealthy or foolish. Sound familiar? It’s just like nearly everything the government and its regulation does. The sting of unintended consequences.

We can only hope that people will see the same thing coming with nationalized health care.

Adultolescence

Wednesday, June 10th, 2009

Kevin DeYoung cites Robert Wuthnow’s After the Baby Boomers reporting that in 1960, by the time they were 30 years old, 77% of women and 65% of men had completed all the major transitions into adulthood: leaving home, finishing school, financial independence, and having a child. Just 40 years later, just 46% of women and 31% of men had done the same by age 30. I’ve had a number of conversations with people who can’t believe someone could be ready for marriage in their early 20s. Wuthrow’s interest is the future of American religion. The consequences of the new “adultolescene” are far reaching. Not only does smaller post-boomer generation need to provide for the aging boomers and their increasing healthcare needs, it has to do it with less productivity. These transitions are largely those that mark the change from a consumer-student into  producer. The fact that half the men (or possibly less by now) don’t live with their mom, have wives, jobs, a kid and financial independence indicates a lot less is being produced in every way.

Free Money

Tuesday, May 19th, 2009

Commenting on Numbers 25:36-27, Gordon Wenham notes “Interest-free loans are well attested in ancient financial records, and laws against taking excessive interest are also known, but Israel is alone in totally prohibiting interest payments on loans to the poor. These loans were essentially charitable: they enabled a poor farmer to buy enough seed corn for the next season.”

Well, not exactly free (which is notoriously not helpful for the poor), but loans without interest between Israelites was mandated by law.

US Goes to Cash Advance Store

Tuesday, May 12th, 2009

Maybe it’s just me taking notice, but it seems that I’ve seen more and more cash advance stores popping up in the in recent years. You know, the kind where you get money in advance of being paid and of course pay out the nose to do so. The government gets paid, largely, on tax day April 15th, and with this year’s stimulus pakcage they too took a cash advance. But not only did they do that, they kept spending even after they got paid and so for the first time since 1983 the government is running an April deficit. Everyone knows that people who go to cash advance stores are really desperate or foolish, right? Well, this is our intentional economic policy. Just think: we, the richest nation in the world, are that fool who intentionally wanders into that brightly signed store thinking “$$$.”

Help Africa–Stop the Aid

Monday, April 20th, 2009

This article features a number of insights by Dambisa Moyo on the harm aid given to Africa has caused. It’s refreshing to hear an African call out trendy aid given without accountability: “You get the corruption — historically, leaders have stolen the money without penalty — and you get the dependency, which kills entrepreneurship.”

Aid breeds corruption which breeds dependency which kills entrepreneurship. Why can’t leaders in the United States figure this out? Oh, because they’re the ones getting to dole out the money and collect accolades for doing so. Any business worth saving or starting will do so by legitimately borrowing and repaying a loan. Money given or received otherwise should be seen as money taken from people who would otherwise spend or invest it wisely. Of course, this doesn’t apply to all giving–individuals giving mercifully of their own money, gifts to orphans and widows etc. But it does apply to any governmental “investing” which is not just ineffective but also counterproductive.

Death tax alive and well

Tuesday, March 31st, 2009

In this April’s Christianity Today Rob Moll reports on the resurrection of the death tax in 2011 under Obama. If you die in 2010, your heirs will inherit all of your wealth up to $3.5 million (after that it’s taxed at 45%), tax free. In 2011, anything over $1 million will be taxed heavily at 55%. Of course this will drive many to give more heavily to charitable organizations rather see their pile disappear down the government sink hole. Moll quotes Calvin College economist John Tiemstra who is in favor of progressive taxes because, scripturally, “Once people have met their basic needs, said Tiemstra, “equality is at least as important as prosperity.”" Heh heh. For the price of the contact lenses I’ll wear this month, I could feed someone for most of a month in a third world country. Why not have the government enforce equality? For one thing, it’s one sure way to squash prosperity (read incentive and therefore production and therefore jobs). And for another, generosity: “While it remained unsold, did it not remain your own? And after it was sold, was it not at your disposal?” (Acts 5:4).